TIVP083: SPACEX (SPCX): IS IT REALLY WORTH $2 TRILLION DOLLARS?
W/ KYLE GRIEVE & SHAWN O’MALLEY
TIVP083: SPACEX (SPCX): IS IT REALLY WORTH $2 TRILLION DOLLARS? W/ KYLE GRIEVE & SHAWN O’MALLEY
15 July 2026
In today’s episode, Kyle Grieve and Shawn O’Malley analyze SpaceX’s blockbuster 2026 IPO, dissecting the company’s three segments: Space, Connectivity, and AI. They’ll also look at its history, moats, capital allocation, debt, and incentive structure. They’ll stress-test SpaceX’s aggressive $28.5 trillion total addressable market claim and walk through the key risks facing the business, from key-man dependence to regulatory exposure.
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IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:
- Why its claimed market opportunity may be overstated
- How Elon Musk’s early rocket failures almost sank SpaceX
- How Space, Connectivity, and AI segments actually work
- Why reusable rockets are reshaping launch economics
- Whether the AI segment is worrisome
- What’s really driving Connectivity’s improving margins
- How to think about SpaceX’s R&D and capital spending
- Why SpaceX’s debt picture is more nuanced than it looks
- How Musk’s pay package ties to Mars and market cap benchmarks
- What risks could derail the SpaceX growth story
- Whether SpaceX’s valuation can be justified by the numbers
- And so much more!
For the full show notes, go to this page.
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