TIP520: INVESTING THROUGH POST-BUBBLE MARKETS
W/ JAMIE CATHERWOOD
02 February 2023
Trey brings back financial historian, Jamie Catherwood. Jamie is a Client Portfolio Specialist at O’Shaughnessy Asset Management and the author of the popular blog, Investor Amnesia.
Trey and Jamie discuss the historical viewpoint on a post-bubble world, the impact of 1800s markets on our current market outlook, and more.
IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:
- How markets from the 1800’s can inform how we view our market today.
- How the frauds of today like FTX draw similarities to frauds of the past.
- Why market regulations developed in the US.
- How the crypto market resembles the early days of the stock market.
- Where the term “bankruptcy” comes from.
- Other fascinating facts and stories from the past.
TRANSCRIPT
Disclaimer: The transcript that follows has been generated using artificial intelligence. We strive to be as accurate as possible, but minor errors and slightly off-timestamps may be present due to platform differences.
[00:00:00] Trey Lockerbie: In this episode, I welcome back financial historian Jamie Catherwood. Jamie is a client portfolio specialist at O’Shaughnessy Asset Management and also the author of the popular blog, Investor Amnesia. In my conversation with Jamie, from about nine months ago (Episode 427), we dove into what drives market bubbles, fraud, and mania.
[00:00:21] Trey Lockerbie: After witnessing the largest asset bubble in history begin to burst, I wanted Jamie’s historical perspective on a post-bubble world. In this episode, you’ll learn how markets from the 1800s can inform our understanding of the market today, how the frauds of today (such as FTX) draw similarities to frauds of the past, exactly why market regulations were developed in the US, how the crypto market resembles the early days of the stock market, where the term ‘bankruptcy’ originates from, and a host of other fascinating facts and stories from the past.
[00:00:49] Trey Lockerbie: It’s always a pleasure to speak with Jamie and hear his encyclopedic knowledge of financial markets. I hope you enjoy it. So, with that, here’s my conversation with Jamie Catherwood.
[00:01:02] Intro: You are listening to The Investor’s Podcast, where we study the financial markets and read the books that influence self-made billionaires the most. We keep you informed and prepared for the unexpected.
[00:01:22] Trey Lockerbie: Welcome to The Investor’s Podcast. I’m your host, Trey Lockerbie, and I’m thrilled to welcome back to the show Jamie Catherwood. Jamie, welcome back.
[00:01:30] Jamie Catherwood: Thank you so much for having me. I’m honored to be here.
[00:01:32] Trey Lockerbie: Well, given the last year we just experienced and it being about a year since you and I last spoke, as a historian, I’ve been eager to ask you a question that has come up a lot, what period in history most resembles today?
[00:01:45] Trey Lockerbie: I know that many have compared today to the 1970s, but I figured you might have different perspectives and possibly draw comparisons to other periods in time that resemble what we’re seeing today.
[00:01:55] Jamie Catherwood: Yeah, so anyone that’s familiar with my work will know that I like to look at things before the 1970s.
[00:02:06] Jamie Catherwood: I’m talking about the 1870s, In all seriousness, if you want to read about it, my colleague at O’Shaughnessy Asset Management, Ehren Stanhope, a member of our research team and client portfolio manager, wrote a great paper called “The Great Inflation.” You can find it on our website, osam.com, where he walks through the similarities and, more importantly, the key differences between the 1970s and today and why this is not like the 1970s Great Inflation.
[00:02:38] Jamie Catherwood: But to actually answer your question, I would say that the period I find most interesting in terms of a parallel to today would be the 1920s, which I’m sure most people know by now. I’ve found it really interesting since, honestly, COVID started, the similarities in progression and timeline between the early 1910s and 1920s with today.
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BOOKS AND RESOURCES
- Investor Amnesia Website.
- Sunday Reads Blog.
- Osam Paper on The Great Inflation.
- Related Episode: Listen to Jamie Catherwood, The History of Bubbles, Mania & Fraud–TIP427 or watch the video.
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